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Watersheds are self-organized natural entities, consisting
of interacting, inter-dependent parts, e.g., climate, soils, vegetation,
topography (hillslopes), and the river network. They are characterized by strong (usually non-linear)
interactions between the parts, including significant thresholds, and complex
feedback loops that make it difficult to distinguish between cause and effect. In fact, the watershed is a metaphor for
integration. Yet, traditional
reductionist approaches used in hydrology tend to split the watersheds into
smaller and smaller isolated parts, assuming that the parts can be added up to
give the behaviour of the whole. One
can cite many examples to demonstrate that the reductionist paradigm has led us
to a theoretical impasse. Models of considerable sophistication have
been developed, that are yet unable to make predictions in ungauged watershed
without local tuning, i.e., calibration.
Current theories of water movement in soils (e.g. Darcy’s law)
are at odds with observations of preferential flow in networks of pipes and
fractures. The old water paradox—the
fact that watersheds store water for considerable periods of time and then
release it promptly during rain events cannot be explained by existing
theories. Current observations are too sparse or inappropriate, and methods
of data analysis inadequate, for the elucidation of underlying patterns,
especially patterns of emergent behavior that may be caused by threshold
non-linearities. Apart from the almost
ritualistic recourse to mass and momentum balance principles, we have not yet
discovered hydrological laws or principles that underpin the
interactions and/or feedbacks between parts of a watershed that are useful for
predictions. It is abundantly clear
that the current hydrological perspective is too narrow, and current datasets
and methods of data analysis are too limited.
We must therefore broaden our hydrologic perspective by forming new,
stronger links with disciplines such as
climatology, geomorphology, ecology, geophysics etc. and by embracing the new
datasets, new methods of data analysis and new concepts that such links will
make possible. It is through
such multi-disciplinary interactions that we can ever achieve the much
hoped-for paradigm change in watershed hydrology.
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Department of Hydrology and Water Resources
College of Engineering - The University of Arizona
John W. Harshbarger Building |
1133 E James E. Rogers Way Tucson, AZ 85721
Tel: (520) 621-5082 Fax: (520) 621-1422
webmaster@hwr.arizona.edu |
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©2005 Arizona Board of Regents. All rights reserved. |
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